Change in daily deaths 250 18 Mar 2021 - 16 May 2021 200 Based on 7-day rolling average 150 ■ 100 16 May 50 0 19 Mar 26 Mar 2 Apr 9 Apr 16 Apr 23 Apr 30 Apr -50 bhubaneswar l wednesday l may 19, 2021 l `7.00 l PAGES 12 l jeypore EDITION Covid-19 mortality in India decelerating since April 28 tion peak of mortality was on April 28, one week after the momentum peak of new cases on April 21. The numerical peak of mortality is imminent — hopefully within the next one week. The daily deaths will decrease thereafter and the requirement for oxygen, Remdesivir, ICU or/ and ventilator beds in hospitals will progressively decrease in the coming weeks. M S S esha d r i & T J a c o b J o hn O ur momentum, acceleration and deceleration graph of the second wave of Covid-19 in India was carried in these columns on May 13. Using the same technique, we analysed the acceleration-deceleration of Covid-19 daily deaths (seven-day rolling average). The accelera- Shailaja axed, Pinarayi kin among fresh faces in team B S R E E JA N @ T’Puram THE infusion of fresh blood into the new LDF government in Kerala would have been hailed as a political masterstroke had the CPM leadership shown a little prudence in granting legitimate exemptions and put in place checks to weed out nepotism in selection of ministers. The decision of CPM state committee on Tuesday to replace all existing ministers with 10 fresh faces and one senior, who had served a term earlier, completed the generational shift the party had started by dropping all two-time MLAs during the candidate selection. The CPI, which also followed the norm, replaced all the four ministers with fresh faces. On final count, 17 of the 21 ministers-designate are new faces. Along with Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, JD(S) nominee K Krishnankutty and NCP nominee A K Saseendran had served term in the 2016 cabinet. CPM leader K Radhakrishnan had been a minister in the 1996 E K Nayanar government, besides serving as the Speaker during 2006-11. However, the charm of the list which had talented leaders such as P Rajeeve and K N Balagopal, who had proved their parliamentary skills in the Rajya Sabha, and three women ministers — a first for Kerala — as ministersdesignate was shadowed by the decision to exclude K K Shailaja. Being a central committee (CC) member and second only to Pinarayi in terms of seniority in the party Shailaja was supposed , to the No 2 in the new Cabinet. Her work as health minister which won laurels globally was all the more a reason to make an exemption. But, the CPM state secretariat unanimously decided to apply a unifor m scale to all. The inclusion of first-time MLA P A Mohammed Riyaz and R Bindu was also a surprise. Riyaz is the husband of Pinarayi’s daughter Veena T. Though the organisational profile of Riyaz – national president of DYFI – is fit enough to find a place in a CPM cabinet, the party will have to face questions of conflict of interest. Bindu, who had proven her leadership skills as the Mayor of Thrissur coporation, is the wife of A Vijayaraghavan is the current chief of both the state CPM and LDF. The one-week lag between peaks of the second wave momentum and mortality acceleration reflects the interval between case detection and death. If vulnerable patients get admitted early and on time, the interval would be ~ 3 weeks. The short lag-time underscores the need to educate elderly and the vulnerable (those with diabetes, hypertension, chronic heart, lung, kidney or liver problems) to seek early medical attention for fever with cough/sore throat. Since mortality acceleration peaks of states and districts will be asynchronous with the national data, they ought to analyse regional data using this technique to formulate regional policy decisions. Full article on: newindianexpress.com The decision to extend the lockdown was taken after noticing positive trends in the last 15 days E x p ress N e w s S er v i c e @ Bhubaneswar As Covid-19 situation continues to be grave with alarming rise of infection in rural and interior parts of the State, Odisha government on Tuesday extended the lockdown for two more weeks till June 1. Making the announcement, Chief Secretary Suresh Chandra Mahapatra said the decision to extend the lockdown was taken after noticing positive trends in the last 15 days. While the rate of positivity in the State has remained stagnant during the lockdown, some Covid hotspots in western Odisha districts bordering Chhattisgarh are witnessing a declining trend in the spread of infection. Suresh Chandra Mahapatra, Chief Secretary “Keeping this changed situation in mind, the government decided to further extend the lockdown period for two more weeks. The weekend shutdown will also continue,” Mahapatra said. As the roadside vending zones are getting crowded, the government has reduced the period of relaxation for buying essentials from 6 to 4 hours. Earlier, people were allowed from 6 am to 12 noon to get essential commodi- SIMPLE COVID LIFE HACKS If there is something that is spreading more than the coronavirus, it is the fear and anxiety concerning this unforgettable pandemic and how it may affect our lives in terms of health, careers wise, finances and relationships etc | P12 Navy personnel shifting three persons rescued from Barge-P305 by a Seaking helicopter for medical attention at INS Shikra in Mumbai | PTI es had been rescued when reports last came in. Of them, 297 are safe in their vessels that had drifted off Gujarat coast. Naval ships Beas, Betwa and Teg joined INS Kochi and Kolkata for the rescue operations for Barge P-305, said Commander Vivek Madhwal. P8I Reconnaissance Aircraft and naval helicopters were also deployed. In another operation, a Navy Seaking helicopter was launched to rescue crew of GAL Constructor, which ran aground north of Mumbai. The copter rescued 35 GAL crew members. Of the 137 onboard GAL Constructor, all have been shifted to a secure location. Continued on: P8 With quick action and presence of mind, this Kochi woman beat Covid FOR most people, especially the elderly, staying alone is tough. More so in the midst of a pandemic when all one hears is scary news about how Covid-19 is causing widespread misery and deaths. Kochi resident Elsi Babu, 56, thought it’s all over when she was infected. “I never thought I would make it after I collapsed, unable to stand on my feet or even breathe,” she told TNIE. Elsi lost her husband six years ago and she doesn’t have any children. What saved her was the presence of mind to seek urgent medical help. “I was admitted to two hospitals before finally making it to a major private hospital in Kochi. I don’t remember the sequence of events between April 12 and 22 as I was fighting extreme fatigue and breathlessness. It was only on April 28 that I was discharged from the hospital,” she said. Elsi tested positive for Covid-19 last month, a few days after taking the first dose of the Covid vaccine. “I started to feel tired and breathless on April 11. I waited for a day thinking it’s the normal body reaction. But as I lost strength to even stand up, I rang up my relatives who took me to hospital,” she recalled. As her situation didn’t improve, she was shifted to a Covid hospital. But her situation worsened and she was shifted to a private hospital, where she stayed for 10 days and recovered. One needs to remain alert and seek medical aid if one feels fatigue or experiences heaviness in the chest, she added. The Odisha conundrum Death rate hits bottom as cases double H e m an t K u m ar R o u t @ Bhubaneswar Odisha’s Covid-19 case fatality rate (CFR) during the first wave last year was 0.56 per cent. In the second wave over the last one and half-months, the CFR has dropped to 0.15 per cent not only leaving health experts baffled but also, more importantly, giving credence to the allegations of all-out number fudgi n g o f d e a t h s by t h e S t a t e government. While the ferocious wave with newer strains having multiple times transmission capability is creating havoc across the country - Odisha not untouched - the drop in deaths over last -100 15,000 10,000 NATIONWIDE MAY 17 Daily change in new cases Fresh cases Recoveries Deaths 13 Mar 2021 - 16 May 2021 Based on 7-day rolling average MAY 18 2,81,386 2,63,533 3,78,741 4,22,436 4,106 4,329 May 17 14,79,592 doses May 18 12,79,896 doses Total doses: 18,57,66,518 Jab-o-meter 5,000 0 14 Mar 21 Mar 28 Mar 4 Apr 11 Apr 18 Apr 25 Apr 2 May 9 May 16 May -5,000 Take your shot ODISHA Fresh cases Recoveries Deaths -10,000 -15,000 MAY 17 10,757 11,821 22 MAY 18 10,321 10,242 22 Time relaxation for buying essentials reduced from 6 am-12 pm to 7 am-11am; weekend shutdown to continue E x p ress N e w s S er v i c e @ Mumbai/Delhi A JAY K A N T H @ Kochi 14 May Odisha extends lockdown till June 1 7 killed in Guj; 183 saved, 77 missing as barge sinks At least seven persons were reported killed in Gujarat as cyclone Tauktae tore into the state on Monday night and over 70 people were missing on the high sea after a barge sank 35 nautical miles off Mumbai. Search and rescue operations by Navy and Coast Guard personnel managed to save 183 of the 261 onboard Barge P-305 that got de-anchored and toppled. In all, 324 people in different barg- 7 May 15 May 20,000 CHENNAI ■ MADURAI ■ VIJAYAWADA BENGALURU ■ KOCHI ■ HYDERABAD ■ VISAKHAPATNAM ■ COIMBATORE ■ KOZHIKODE ■ THIRUVANANTHAPURAM ■ BELAGAVI ■ BHUBANESWAR ■ SHIVAMOgGA ■ MANGALURU ■ TIRUPATI ■ TIRUCHY ■ TIRUNELVELI ■ SAMBALPUR ■ HUBBALLI ■ DHARMAPURI ■ KOTTAYAM ■ KANNUR ■ VILLUPURAM ■ KOLLAM ■ WARANGAL ■ TADEPALLIGUDEM ■ NAGAPATTINAM ■ THRISSUR ■ KALABURAGI ■ year is just incomprehensible. At the peak of first wave last year, Odisha recorded a maximum of 4,356 cases. This year it is consistently logging two or two and half times the number at over 10,000 daily, but death rate just does not match up given the fact that there has been no significant improvement in health facilities over last year and that the rural spread, where healthcare is bare minimum, has reached alarming proportions. Considering the extent of infection, health experts involved in Covid treatment claimed that the fatality cannot be less than 50 a day at a CFR of 0.5 pc if not more. Astonishingly, the official death toll is not even 50 pc of that. The highest 22 deaths has been recorded only three times this month. A comparison of death rate with other states reporting similar or lower daily case count than Odisha makes the latter’s case more confounding. With 10,000 or more daily cases, Rajasthan and Haryana have been reporting an average 150 and 160 deaths respectively daily . Punjab, Gujarat and Bihar are announcing around 180, 100 and 80 deaths a day respectively with the number of infections between 5000 and 10,000. CONTINUED ON: P5 ties from nearby shops and vending zones from Monday to Friday The revised time to be ef. fective from May 19 is from 7 am to 11 am. There will be no restriction on movement of goods and construction materials, but the movement of people will be strictly regulated, he said. Stating that some strict measures have been taken so far as social gathering at marriage function, thread ceremony cre, mation and other rituals after death, the Chief Secretary said the total number in congregation in these functions has been halved from 50 to 25. Livelihood activities in agriculture and allied sectors and shops dealing with these sectors will be allowed to function normally as CONTINUED ON: P5 earlier. W h a t ’ s a l l ow e d Relaxation for buying essentials - 7 am to 11 am All healthcare facilities including labs, medicine stores Home delivery of food, essentials Gatherings at weddings and cremations capped at 25 & 20 respectively Newspaper delivery between 5 am and 8 am r e s t r i c tio n s Weekend shutdown to continue Public transport Community feast All religious places and places of worship Educational institutions and coaching centres Cinema halls, shopping malls, gymnasiums, swimming pools
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