Change in daily deaths 250 18 Mar 2021 - 16 May 2021 200 Based on 7-day rolling average 150 ■ 100 16 May 50 0 19 Mar 26 Mar 2 Apr 9 Apr 16 Apr 23 Apr 30 Apr -50 KOCHI l Wednesday l may 19, 2021 l `7.00 l PAGES 16 l LATE city EDITION Covid-19 mortality in India decelerating since April 28 M S S esha d r i & T J a c o b J o hn O ur momentum, acceleration and deceleration graph of the second wave of Covid-19 in India was carried in these columns on May 13. Using the same technique, we analysed the acceleration-deceleration of Covid-19 daily deaths (seven-day rolling average). The accelera- tion peak of mortality was on April 28, one week after the momentum peak of new cases on April 21. The numerical peak of mortality is imminent — hopefully within the next one week. The daily deaths will decrease thereafter and the requirement for oxygen, Remdesivir, ICU or/ and ventilator beds in hospitals will progressively decrease in the coming weeks. The one-week lag between peaks of the second wave momentum and mortality acceleration reflects the interval between case detection and death. If vulnerable patients get admitted early and on time, the interval would be ~ 3 weeks. The short lag-time underscores the need to educate elderly and the vulnerable (those with diabetes, hypertension, chronic heart, lung, kidney or liver problems) to seek early medical attention for fever with cough/sore throat. Since mortality acceleration peaks of states and districts will be asynchronous with the national data, they ought to analyse regional data using this technique to formulate regional policy decisions. Full article on: newindianexpress.com Heartbreak As Team Pinarayi drops Shailaja CPM excludes the successful health minister17 fresh faces in 21-member cabinetPinarayi Vijayan meets Governor KhanSwearing-in tomorrow who’s who G R Anil CPM J Chinchurani M V Govindan P Prasad CPI Pinarayi Vijayan K Radhakrishnan K Rajan Deputy Speaker K N Balagopal Chittayam P Rajeeve Gopakumar V Sivankutty KC(M) Roshy V N Vasavan Saji Cheriyan Augustine Chief whip N Jayaraj Mohd Riyas NCP R Bindu A K Saseendran Veena George JD(S) V Abdurahiman K Krishnankutty Speaker candidate DKC M B Rajesh Antony Raju Party whip INL K K Shailaja placement of all two-time MLAs with new names during the canTHE infusion of fresh blood into didate selection. The CPI, which the new LDF government would also followed the norm set by the have been hailed as a political state council in 2016, rightly remasterstroke had the CPM lead- placed all four ministers with ership shown a little prudence in fresh faces. granting legitimate exemptions In the final count, 17 of the 21 and put in place checks to weed ministers designate are fresh facout nepotism in the seleces. Along with CM Pition of ministers. narayi Vijayan, JD (S) The most heartbreaknominee K Krishnankuting, without doubt, was ty and NCP’s A K Saseenthe decision to leave out K dran had served in the K Shailaja who, as health 2016 cabinet. CPM leader minister, had fearlessly K Radhakrishnan was a led the Covid and Nipah minister in the 1996 E K fights from the front and Nayanar government, bewon hearts at the intersides serving as the I became the national level not just for Speaker during 2006-11. minister her approach but also atHowever, the charm of because the titude. Her victory in the the list which had talentparty had assembly polls with ed leaders such as P Rarecord majority was an decided so. I’m jeeve and K N Balagopal fully satisfied endorsement for that, but — who both had proved with what I more significantly, the have done. The their parliamentary good work she did was viskills in Rajya Sabha — new team is tal in the Left front reand three women — a good and I’m taining power. Social me- confident that record in the history of they will dia is abuzz with state — as ministers was comments, with a number perform better overshadowed by the deof celebrities joining the cision to exclude K K Shailaja hash tag campaign,#Brin Shailaja. gBackShailajaTeacher but CPM Being a central committee is unlikely to have a rethink. member and second only to PiThe move of the CPM state narayi in terms of seniority in committee on Tuesday to replace party, Shailaja was supposed to all existing ministers with 10 be the No 2 in the new cabinet. fresh faces and one senior who Her work as health minister, had served a term earlier com- which won applause globally was , pleted the generational shift the all the more a reason to give an ● More on P4 party had started with the re- exemption. B S R E E J A N @ T’Puram Ahamed Devarkovil Pinarayi Vijayan hands over the list of ministers to Governor Arif Mohammed Khan on Tuesday | Express 7 spoke for Shailaja but went silent after Kodiyeri’s speech E x p ress N e w s S er v i c e @T’Puram Move evokes criticism The decision to leave out K K Shailaja has invited criticism. Though a few leaders felt she should have been given another term, the party was adamant in its stand. Shailaja has been made party whip and T P Ramakrishnan the legislative party secretary. P4 A section of CPM leaders expressed reservations on Tuesday over the exclusion of K K Shailaja from the list of ministers and on the decision to bring a team of entirely fresh faces in the cabinet when the proposals came up for debate in the state committee. According to sources in the CPM, at least seven state committee members criticised the decision to exclude Shailaja but none of them reiterated their objections after politburo member Kodiyeri Balakrishnan replied in detail to their criticism. Strangely, there was no overwhelming demand from the powerful Kannur lobby to which Shailaja also belongs, for retaining , her. Kannur CPM district secretary M V Jayarajan, P Jayarajan and P Sathidevi sought an exception for Shailaja, citing her excellent track record as the health minister and her initiatives in addressing Covid-19 crisis. “Senior leaders K Ananthagopan, K K Jayachandran, Susan Kody and K P Mary spoke in favour of including Shailaja in the cabinet. However, the official leadership was of the view that the exemption couldn’t be given to just one person,” said a source. A few other state committee members said that a right mix of experience and youth would be a better deal. Kodiyeri said a decision was taken to bring in fresh ● More on P5 faces and the same was binding on everyone. E X P RE S S REA D Youths want Satheesan, leaders for Chennithala T’Puram: The leaders of ‘I’ and ‘A’ groups in Congress have rallied behind Ramesh Chennithala to continue as the Opposition leader while young leaders have favoured V D Satheesan in the meetings with central observers. The ball is now in the court of the Congress high command to select the next legislative party leader. P5 Dissidents in state BJP raise serious complaints T’Puram: Dissident factions in the state BJP unit have raised serious complaints in connection with disbursal of election funds and deployment of cadre for campaigning in the justconcluded assembly polls. P5 16 pages, including 4 pages of KOCHI Express quick action Elsi stayed strong and alert to stave off Covid A JAY KA N T H @ Kochi FOR most people, especially the elderly, staying alone is tough. More so in the midst of a pandemic when all one hears is scary news about how Covid-19 is causing widespread misery and deaths. Kochi resident Elsi Babu, 56, thought it’s all over when she was infected. “I never thought I would make it after I collapsed, unable to stand on my feet or even breathe,” she told TNIE. Elsi lost her husband six years ago and she doesn’t have any children. What saved her was the presence of mind to seek urgent medical help. “I was admitted to two hospitals before finally making it to a major private hospital in Kochi. I don’t remember the sequence of events between April 12 and 22 as I was fighting extreme fatigue and breathlessness. It was only on April 28 that I was discharged from the hospital,” she said. Elsi tested positive for Covid-19 last month, a few days after taking the Elsi Babu first dose of the Covid vaccine. “I started to feel tired and breathless on April 11. I waited for a day thinking it’s the normal body reaction. But as I lost strength to even stand up, I rang up my relatives who took me to hospital,” she recalled. As her situation didn’t improve, she was shifted to a Covid hospital. But her situation worsened and she was shifted to a private hospital, where she stayed for 10 days. One needs to remain alert and seek medical aid if one feels fatigue or experiences heaviness in the chest, she added. 7 May 14 May 15 May -100 20,000 15,000 10,000 CHENNAI ■ MADURAI ■ VIJAYAWADA BENGALURU ■ KOCHI ■ HYDERABAD ■ VISAKHAPATNAM ■ COIMBATORE ■ KOZHIKODE ■ THIRUVANANTHAPURAM ■ BELAGAVI ■ BHUBANESWAR ■ SHIVAMOgGA ■ MANGALURU ■ TIRUPATI ■ TIRUCHY ■ TIRUNELVELI ■ SAMBALPUR ■ HUBBALLI ■ DHARMAPURI ■ KOTTAYAM ■ KANNUR ■ VILLUPURAM ■ KOLLAM ■ WARANGAL ■ TADEPALLIGUDEM ■ NAGAPATTINAM ■ THRISSUR ■ KALABURAGI ■ Daily change in new cases 13 Mar 2021 - 16 May 2021 Based on 7-day rolling average 0 14 Mar 21 Mar 28 Mar 4 Apr 11 Apr 18 Apr 25 Apr 2 May 9 May 16 May -10,000 -15,000 MAY 18 2,81,386 2,66,966 3,78,741 4,22,436 4,106 4,525 May 17 14,79,592 doses May 18 12,79,896 doses Total doses: 18,57,66,518 Jab-o-meter 5,000 -5,000 NATIONWIDE MAY 17 Fresh cases Recoveries Deaths Take your shot STATEWIDE Fresh cases Recoveries Deaths MAY 17 21,402 99,651 87 MAY 18 31,337 45,926 97 Chorus grows against gala swearing-in, UDF to skip; petition in HC E x p ress N e w s S er v i c e @ T’Puram THE chorus has grown against the LDF’s decision to organise a ‘grand’ swearing-in ceremony heralding Pinarayi Vijayan 2.0 with the participation of 500 invitees at Central Stadium here on Thursday flouting the Covid protocol. While the Opposition UDF on Tuesday decided to skip it, petitions were filed in the High Court seeking an order to the government to desist from the move. Celebrities like actor Parvathy Given that the Thiruvothu who have, otherwise, alcases are still on the rise, it is an ways supported the Left front also extremely wrong highlighted the dichotomy of the govmove especially ernment ordering people to confine when there is an themselves in their houses to prevent opportunity to the Covid spread and holding a cereset an example mony with the participation of a by holding a huge number of people, huge considvirtual ceremony! ering the spike in the pandemic cases Parvathy Thiruvothu in the state, when it could easily be held online. Parvathy, in a tweet, asked the government to cancel the public gathering. “Given that the cases are still on the rise and we are nowhere near a finish line, it is an extremely wrong move especially when there is an opportunity to set an example by holding a virtual ceremony instead! I request the @CMOKerala to please consider this request and cancel such a public gathering. A virtual swearing in ceremony please!” she tweeted. , 7 killed in Guj; 77 missing as barge sinks Mumbai/Delhi: At least seven persons were reported killed in Gujarat as cyclone Tauktae tore into the state on Monday night and over 70 people were missing on the high sea after a barge sank 35 nautical miles off Mumbai. Search and rescue operations by Navy and Coast Guard personnel managed to save 183 of the 261 onboard Barge P-305 that got de-anchored and toppled. In all, 324 people in different barges had been rescued when reports last came in. Of them, 297 are safe in their vessels that had drifted off Gujarat coast. Naval ships Beas, Betwa and Teg joined INS Kochi and Kolkata for the rescue operations for Barge P-305, said Commander Vivek Madhwal. P8I Reconnaissance Aircraft and naval helicopters were also deployed. Continued on P8
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