Change in daily deaths 250 18 Mar 2021 - 16 May 2021 200 Based on 7-day rolling average 150 ■ 100 16 May 50 0 19 Mar 26 Mar 2 Apr 9 Apr 16 Apr 23 Apr 30 Apr -50 chennai l wednesday l may 19, 2021 l `7.00 l PAGES 16 l late city EDITION Covid-19 mortality in India decelerating since April 28 M S S esha d r i & T J a c o b J o hn O ur momentum, acceleration and deceleration graph of the second wave of Covid-19 in India was carried in these columns on May 13. Using the same technique, we analysed the acceleration-deceleration of Covid-19 daily deaths (seven-day rolling average). The accelera- tion peak of mortality was on April 28, one week after the momentum peak of new cases on April 21. The numerical peak of mortality is imminent — hopefully within the next one week. The daily deaths will decrease thereafter and the requirement for oxygen, Remdesivir, ICU or/ and ventilator beds in hospitals will progressively decrease in the coming weeks. The one-week lag between peaks of the second wave momentum and mortality acceleration reflects the interval between case detection and death. If vulnerable patients get admitted early and on time, the interval would be ~ 3 weeks. The short lag-time underscores the need to educate elderly and the vulnerable (those with diabetes, hypertension, chronic heart, lung, kidney or liver problems) to seek early medical attention for fever with cough/sore throat. Since mortality acceleration peaks of states and districts will be asynchronous with the national data, they ought to analyse regional data using this technique to formulate regional policy decisions. Full article on: newindianexpress.com 7 May 14 May 15 May -100 20,000 15,000 10,000 CHENNAI ■ MADURAI ■ VIJAYAWADA BENGALURU ■ KOCHI ■ HYDERABAD ■ VISAKHAPATNAM ■ COIMBATORE ■ KOZHIKODE ■ THIRUVANANTHAPURAM ■ BELAGAVI ■ BHUBANESWAR ■ SHIVAMOgGA ■ MANGALURU ■ TIRUPATI ■ TIRUCHY ■ TIRUNELVELI ■ SAMBALPUR ■ HUBBALLI ■ DHARMAPURI ■ KOTTAYAM ■ KANNUR ■ VILLUPURAM ■ KOLLAM ■ WARANGAL ■ TADEPALLIGUDEM ■ NAGAPATTINAM ■ THRISSUR ■ KALABURAGI ■ Daily change in new cases 13 Mar 2021 - 16 May 2021 Based on 7-day rolling average 0 14 Mar 21 Mar 28 Mar 4 Apr 11 Apr 18 Apr 25 Apr 2 May 9 May 16 May -10,000 -15,000 MAY 18 2,81,386 2,63,533 3,78,741 4,22,436 4,106 4,329 May 17 14,79,592 doses May 18 12,79,896 doses Total doses: 18,57,66,518 Jab-o-meter 5,000 -5,000 NATIONWIDE MAY 17 Fresh cases Recoveries Deaths Take your shot tamil nadu MAY 17 Fresh cases Recoveries Deaths 33,075 20,486 335 MAY 18 33,059 21,362 364 Shailaja axed, Pinarayi kin among fresh faces in team Seventeen out of 21 ministers are newbies; swearing-in on May 20 Navy personnel shifting three persons rescued from Barge-P305 by a Seaking helicopter for medical attention at INS Shikra in Mumbai | PTI 7 killed in Guj; 183 saved, 77 missing as barge sinks E x p ress N e w s S er v i c e @ Mumbai/Delhi At least seven persons were reported killed in Gujarat as cyclone Tauktae tore into the state on Monday night and over 70 people were missing on the high sea after a barge sank 35 nautical miles off Mumbai. Search and rescue operations by Navy and Coast Guard personnel managed to save 183 of the 261 onboard Barge P-305 that got de-anchored and toppled. In all, 324 people in different barges had been rescued when reports last came in. Of them, 297 are safe in their vessels that had drifted off Gujarat coast. Naval ships Beas, Betwa and Teg joined INS Kochi and Kolkata for the rescue operations for Barge P-305, said Commander Vivek Madhwal. P8I Reconnaissance Aircraft and naval helicopters were also deployed. In another operation, a Navy Seaking helicopter was launched to rescue crew of GAL Constructor, which ran aground north of Mumbai. The copter rescued 35 GAL crew members. Of the 137 onboard GAL Constructor, all have been shifted to a secure location. Continued on: P8 B S R E E JA N @ T’Puram THE infusion of fresh blood into the new LDF government in Kerala would have been hailed as a political masterstroke had the CPM leadership shown a little prudence in granting legitimate exemptions and put in place checks to weed out nepotism in selection of ministers. The decision of CPM state committee on Tuesday to replace all existing ministers with 10 fresh faces and one senior, who had served a term earlier, completed the generational shift the party had started by dropping all two-time MLAs during the candidate selection. The CPI, which also followed the norm, replaced all the four ministers with fresh faces. On final count, 17 of the 21 ministers-designate are new faces. Along with Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, JD(S) nominee K Krishnankutty and NCP nominee A K Saseendran had served term in the 2016 cabinet. CPM leader K Radhakrishnan had been a minister in the 1996 E K Nayanar government, besides serving as the Speaker during 2006-11. However, the charm of the list which had talented leaders such as P Rajeeve and K N Balagopal, who had proved their parliamentary skills in the Rajya Sabha, and three women ministers — a first for Kerala — as ministers-designate was shadowed by the decision to exclude K K Shailaja. Being a central committee member and second only to Pi- From ‘CM in your constituency’ E x p ress N e ws S er v i c e @ Chennai THE Chief Minister in Your Constituency (Ungal Thogudhiyil Mudhalamaichar) Department, created exclusively for resolving the petitions received during the election campaign of Chief Minister MK Stalin, has dealt with and resolved 549 petitions so far from six districts within 10 days of its commencement. The CM had promised that the petitions would be disposed within 100 days of the DMK coming to power. To mark the redressal of griev- ances within 100 days, as many as 10 petitioners received the documents regarding the redressal of their grievances from Stalin at the Secretariat. Based on the petition of M Munusamy of Tiruvallur district, administrative sanction has been given for constructing an Anganwadi centre at a cost of `10.1 lakh in Azhinjivakkam village panchayat, while Rani of Adambakkam received an order for Old Age Pension. In total, around four lakh petitions were received from all districts. P3 in v esti g ated The entrance of HLL Biotech Integrated Vaccine Complex (IVC) located in Chengalpattu, on Tuesday | DEBADATTA MALLICK What is plaguing the IVC at Chengalpattu? regular vaccines like Liquid Pentavalent Vaccine (LPV), Hepatitis-B-Vaccine, HaemoDESERTED campus, staf f philus Influenza Type B, Rabies shortage, unpaid wages and fi- Vaccine, Japanese Encephalitis nancial troubles personify the E Vaccine, BCG Vaccine and Integrated Vaccine Complex Measles-Rubella Vaccine under (IVC) in Chengalpatthe Universal Immutu, near Chennai. nisation Programme Vacant staff The complex, on the of the Government positions contrary should have , of India. its RTI reply last been bustling with Express visited the year, HLL Biotech activity, instilling facility on Tuesday confidence among Limited, which runs and there were hardhealth officials at a the IVC, said that it ly 40 people in athad a sanctioned time when people are tendance and most staff strength of scrambling for jabs of the campus wore a 408, of which 251 amid the raging secdeser ted, gloomy posts are vacant ond wave of the look. In its RTI reply pandemic. last year, HLL BioNo one really quite under- tech Limited (HBL), which runs stands why the IVC, which is the IVC, admitted that it had a spread across a sprawling 100 sanctioned staff strength of acres and has the state-of-art 408, of which 251 posts are vaccine manufacturing ma- vacant. chinery capable of producing It also said that the facility one billion doses annually is ly- was yet to start manufacturing , ing idle and gathering dust for vaccines, due to which, it inyears now. The facility was ini- curred a loss of `96.25 crore betially established to produce tween 2013 and 2019. P4 SV K R I S H N A C H A I TA N YA @ Chengalpattu Chief Minister MK Stalin handing over the document of redressal of the petitioner’s grievance, on Tuesday With quick action and presence of mind, this Kochi woman beat Covid A JAY K A N T H @ Kochi FOR most people, especially the elderly, staying alone is tough. More so in the midst of a pandemic when all one hears is scary news about how Covid-19 is causing widespread misery and deaths. Kochi resident Elsi Babu, 56, thought it’s all over when she was infected. “I never thought I would make it after I collapsed, unable to stand on my feet or even breathe,” she told TNIE. Elsi lost her husband six years ago and she doesn’t have any children. What saved her was the presence of mind to seek urgent medical help. “I was admitted to two hospitals before finally making it to a major private hospital in Kochi. I don’t remember the sequence of events between April 12 and 22 as I was fighting extreme fatigue and breathlessness. It was only on April 28 that I was discharged from the hospital,” she said. Elsi tested positive for Covid-19 last month, a few days after taking the first dose of the Covid vaccine. “I started to feel tired and breathless on April 11. I waited for a day thinking it’s the normal body reaction. But as I lost strength to even stand up, I rang up my relatives who took me to hospital,” she recalled. As her situation didn’t improve, she was shifted to a Covid hospital. But her situation worsened and she was shifted to a private hospital, where she stayed for 10 days and recovered. One needs to remain alert and seek medical aid if one feels fatigue or experiences heaviness in the chest, she added. narayi in terms of seniority in the party Shailaja was supposed , to the No 2 in the new Cabinet. Her work as health minister which won laurels globally was all the more a reason to make an exemption. But, the CPM state secretariat unanimously decided to apply a uniform scale to all. The inclusion of first-time MLA P A Mohammed Riyaz and R Bindu was also a surprise. Riyaz is the husband of Pinarayi’s daughter Veena T. Though the organisational profile of Riyaz – national president of DYFI – is fit enough to find a place in a CPM cabinet, the party will have to face questions of conflict of interest. Bindu, who had proven her leadership skills as the Mayor of Thrissur coporation, is the wife of A Vijayaraghavan is the current chief of both the state CPM and LDF. Dissent in the state committee over exclusion of K K Shailaja According to CPM sources, seven state committee members criticised the decision to drop former health minister K K Shailaja but none of them reiterated their objection after PB member Kodiyeri Balakrishnan replied in detail to their criticism. “Senior leaders K Ananthagopan, K K Jayachandran, Susan Kody and K P Mary spoke in favour of including Shailaja in the Cabinet. However, the party leadership was of the view that exemption couldn’t be given for just one person,” said a source. Kannur district secretary M V Jayarajan, P Jayarajan and P Sathidevi sought exemption for Shailaja, citing her excellent track record | P5
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